MDW Communications
3 polls analyzed · population: 3 LV
Election house effect
D+1.3
95%: R+1.3 to D+3.9 · 3 polls, 2 races
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 3 | 6.8 | 5.0 to 9.0 | 4.3 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | 2026 Florida Senate | 800 LV | R+6.0 | R+0.1 | release |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 2026 Florida Governor | 2,351 LV | R+2.0 | D+1.9 | release |
| Apr 3, 2026 | 2026 Florida Governor | 1,834 LV | R+0.7 | D+2.4 | release |