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Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research

6 polls analyzed · population: 6 LV

Election house effect
R+3.0
95%: R+5.8 to R+0.2 · 6 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.73).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
St. Pete Polls4-10.6-11.6 to -9.5-5.0
MDW Communications3-6.8-9.0 to -5.0-4.3

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 9, 20262026 Florida Senate716 LVR+11.0R+5.0release
Oct 9, 20262026 Florida Governor716 LVR+11.0R+7.0release
Sep 21, 20262026 Florida Senate830 LVR+11.0R+5.6release
Sep 21, 20262026 Florida Governor830 LVR+12.0R+8.8release
Apr 13, 20262026 Florida Senate848 LVR+13.0R+4.5release
Apr 13, 20262026 Florida Governor848 LVR+7.0R+3.9release