Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov
2 polls analyzed · population: 2 RV
Election house effect
R+0.2
95%: R+3.2 to D+2.9 · 2 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 4 | 0.0 | -1.3 to 1.0 | 2.0 |
| YouGov | 4 | -0.3 | -1.5 to 1.0 | -0.4 |
| Ipsos | 3 | 3.0 | 3.0 to 3.0 | 1.8 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 862 RV | D+4.0 | R+1.9 | release |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 824 RV | D+5.0 | R+0.1 | release |