RealClear Opinion Research
3 polls analyzed · population: 3 RV
Election house effect
D+0.1
95%: R+3.4 to D+3.4 · 1 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
+2.2 net approval
95%: −2.8 net approval to +6.7 net approval · 2 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 4 | -0.5 | -4.2 to 4.8 | -1.5 |
| YouGov | 4 | 5.5 | 2.0 to 8.0 | 3.6 |
| Ipsos | 3 | 7.3 | 4.0 to 11.0 | 6.9 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,500 RV | −10.0 net approval | +1.3 | release |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,000 RV | Even | +5.4 | release |
| Apr 12, 2025 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,000 RV | D+1.0 | R+0.7 | release |