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NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ

3 polls analyzed · population: 2 LV, 1 RV

Election house effect
R+0.5
95%: R+3.9 to D+3.0 · 1 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
−4.1 net approval
95%: −8.6 net approval to +0.7 net approval · 2 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Trump job approval: consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Trump job approval

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
YouGov4-2.8-4.3 to -2.0-2.7
Morning Consult4-7.0-8.5 to -5.5-7.8
Global Strategy Group30.0-3.0 to 2.0-1.4
Ipsos3-0.3-2.0 to 3.00.6

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 29, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,158 LV−14.0 net approval−2.7release
Apr 27, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,448 RV−13.0 net approval−6.0release
Oct 29, 20252026 Generic congressional ballot1,158 LVEvenR+3.1release