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Texas Politics Project (UT Austin)/YouGov

9 polls analyzed · population: 7 RV, 2 LV

Election house effect
R+0.1
95%: R+2.2 to D+2.1 · 9 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.60).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Siena/ReconMR4-1.3-3.3 to 1.0-1.5
YouGov3-1.0-3.0 to 0.0-0.3

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 5, 20262026 Texas Senate861 LVD+3.0D+0.4release
Oct 5, 20262026 Texas Governor861 LVD+1.0D+3.3release
Aug 13, 20262026 Texas Senate1,218 RVD+3.0D+0.3release
Aug 13, 20262026 Texas Governor1,218 RVR+5.0R+1.2release
Jun 12, 20262026 Texas Senate1,200 RVR+1.0R+2.6release
Jun 12, 20262026 Texas Governor1,200 RVR+7.0R+1.4release
Apr 20, 20262026 Texas Senate1,200 RVD+8.0D+4.7release
Apr 20, 20262026 Texas Governor1,200 RVR+6.0D+0.1release
Feb 16, 20262026 Texas Governor1,300 RVR+10.0R+2.7release