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Evitarus

5 polls analyzed · population: 5 LV

Election house effect
D+1.3
95%: R+0.9 to D+3.5 · 5 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.95).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Kreate Strategies34.72.0 to 7.02.3
SurveyUSA38.34.0 to 11.02.4
David Binder Research33.00.0 to 8.01.0
Emerson College3-0.7-3.0 to 4.01.4

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
May 16, 20262026 California Governor1,200 LVR+1.0D+0.5release
May 2, 20262026 California Governor1,200 LVEvenD+3.2release
Apr 17, 20262026 California Governor1,200 LVR+3.0D+3.5release
Apr 5, 20262026 California Governor1,200 LVR+10.0D+0.4release
Mar 17, 20262026 California Governor2,000 LVR+13.0R+0.9release