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2026 South Carolina Senate

Margin = Annie Andrews − Darline Graham. 11 polls from 6 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: R+1.7(95% band R+5.3 to D+2.0).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
Abacus Data1R+10.7D+0.8
Rasmussen Reports2R+2.7R+0.2
Public Policy Polling1R+1.2D+0.4
Trafalgar Group2R+0.3R+1.5
InsiderAdvantage2D+0.4R+0.9
Impact Research3D+0.6D+0.4

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 16, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026Trafalgar Group R1,095 LVR+3.0R+1.3release via wikipedia
Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026Rasmussen Reports R837 LVR+4.0R+3.5release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026InsiderAdvantage R1,200 LVR+1.0D+0.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 23, 2026 – Sep 25, 2026Trafalgar Group R1,087 LVR+1.0D+0.7release via wikipedia
Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026Rasmussen Reports R1,006 LVR+5.0R+4.5release via wikipedia
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 9, 2026InsiderAdvantage R1,200 LVR+1.9R+0.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 26, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026Abacus Data306 LVR+13.0R+13.7release via wikipedia
Aug 18, 2026 – Aug 24, 2026Impact Research D700 LVEvenR+0.6release via wikipedia
Jun 17, 2026 – Jun 22, 2026Impact Research D700 LVR+3.0R+3.6release via wikipedia
Feb 25, 2026 – Mar 1, 2026Impact Research D700 LVR+5.0R+5.6release via wikipedia
Nov 21, 2025 – Nov 22, 2025Public Policy Polling D704 VR+6.0R+6.0release via wikipedia