Overton Insights
4 polls analyzed · population: 2 RV, 2 LV
Election house effect
R+0.9
95%: R+4.1 to D+2.2 · 2 polls, 2 races
Approval house effect
−4.2 net approval
95%: −8.8 net approval to +0.6 net approval · 2 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 4 | -7.8 | -14.0 to -1.5 | -7.9 |
| YouGov | 4 | -4.8 | -8.5 to -1.3 | -2.8 |
| J.L. Partners | 3 | -9.0 | -13.0 to -4.0 | -9.5 |
| Ipsos | 3 | 1.0 | -3.0 to 5.0 | 0.5 |
| RMG Research | 3 | -11.7 | -14.0 to -9.0 | -12.2 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,377 RV | −26.0 net approval | −8.0 | release |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,200 RV | −5.0 net approval | −2.2 | release |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 2026 Texas Senate | 1,167 LV | Even | R+3.0 | release |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 2026 Texas Governor | 1,167 LV | R+2.0 | D+1.3 | release |