Survey 160
6 polls analyzed · population: 6 RV
Election house effect
D+2.3
95%: R+0.4 to D+4.9 · 3 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
−7.0 net approval
95%: −11.0 net approval to −3.1 net approval · 3 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 6 | 5.3 | 2.8 to 7.3 | 2.0 |
| Morning Consult | 6 | 4.5 | 3.2 to 5.8 | 4.4 |
| Ipsos | 4 | 6.3 | 5.5 to 7.0 | 4.2 |
| Verasight | 3 | 1.5 | -0.6 to 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Echelon Insights | 3 | 4.3 | 3.0 to 5.0 | 3.1 |
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 7 | -8.0 | -10.6 to -5.0 | -5.6 |
| Morning Consult | 6 | -13.0 | -16.3 to -9.2 | -10.7 |
| Ipsos | 4 | -2.5 | -6.0 to 1.5 | -2.3 |
| Verasight | 3 | -4.3 | -11.0 to 1.0 | -2.9 |
| ActiVote | 3 | -8.7 | -11.0 to -7.0 | -8.8 |
| Echelon Insights | 3 | -8.3 | -10.0 to -5.0 | -6.3 |
| RMG Research | 3 | -17.3 | -24.0 to -13.0 | -14.9 |
| Global Strategy Group | 3 | -7.3 | -10.0 to -5.0 | -4.3 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,539 RV | −23.0 net approval | −6.5 | release |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,546 RV | −21.0 net approval | −6.2 | release |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,513 RV | −25.0 net approval | −12.8 | release |
| Apr 13, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,539 RV | D+10.0 | D+4.2 | release |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,546 RV | D+10.0 | D+4.5 | release |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,513 RV | D+7.0 | D+3.0 | release |