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2026 Iowa Senate

Margin = Josh Turek − Ashley Hinson. 33 polls from 21 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: D+0.8(95% band R+1.8 to D+3.5).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
co/efficient2R+4.6R+3.6
Emerson College3R+4.2R+0.1
National Public Affairs1R+3.9R+2.5
CNN/SSRS1R+3.1D+0.8
Trafalgar Group2R+3.1R+1.5
The New York Times/Siena2R+2.3R+0.2
Quantus Insights1R+2.1R+1.6
Cygnal2R+1.7R+0.8
Suffolk University2R+1.3D+1.1
GQR1R+0.7D+1.6
GBAO1R+0.7D+1.9
InsiderAdvantage1R+0.3R+0.9
Public Policy Polling1D+0.2D+0.4
Change Research1D+0.4D+0.8
YouGov2D+1.4D+0.3
Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.)2D+2.2D+0.6
Global Strategy Group2D+2.4D+0.7
Echelon Insights1D+3.0R+0.8
Rasmussen Reports2D+3.2R+0.2
Marist Poll2D+4.4D+2.4
Abacus Data1D+7.7D+0.8

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 15, 2026 – Oct 19, 2026co/efficient R863 LVR+3.0D+0.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 15, 2026Trafalgar Group R1,094 LVR+2.0R+0.3release via wikipedia
Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026National Public Affairs678 LVR+3.0R+1.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026YouGov2,245 LVD+1.0D+0.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026Marist Poll1,100 LVD+3.0D+0.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026Emerson College650 LVR+1.6R+1.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 29, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026CNN/SSRS801 LVR+2.0R+2.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026Suffolk University500 LVD+4.0D+3.0release via wikipedia
Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026The New York Times/Siena606 LVR+1.0R+0.7release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 30, 2026Rasmussen Reports R1,048 LVD+4.0D+4.5release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026Quantus Insights R738 LVR+1.0D+1.3release via wikipedia
Sep 24, 2026 – Sep 28, 2026Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R1,008 LVD+2.0D+1.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 22, 2026 – Sep 23, 2026InsiderAdvantage R1,200 LVD+1.0D+2.2release via wikipedia
Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 20, 2026Marist Poll1,050 RVD+8.0D+5.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 16, 2026 – Sep 18, 2026Trafalgar Group R1,089 LVR+2.0R+0.3release via wikipedia
Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026co/efficient R831 LVR+4.0R+0.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 11, 2026Cygnal R500 LVEvenD+1.7release via wikipedia
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 10, 2026Rasmussen Reports R1,031 LVD+5.0D+5.5release via wikipedia
Sep 3, 2026 – Sep 8, 2026YouGov2,041 LVD+4.0D+3.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 1, 2026Emerson College750 LVR+5.0R+4.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 27, 2026 – Aug 31, 2026Global Strategy Group D800 LVD+4.0D+3.4release via wikipedia
Aug 26, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026Abacus Data323 LVD+9.0D+8.3release via wikipedia
Aug 20, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026Suffolk University500 LVR+4.6R+5.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 2, 2026 – Aug 4, 2026Emerson College712 LVR+3.0R+2.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 23, 2026 – Jun 27, 2026Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R1,003 RVD+4.0D+3.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 15, 2026 – Jun 27, 2026The New York Times/Siena600 LVR+2.0R+1.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 16, 2026 – Jun 19, 2026Cygnal R600 LVR+1.8R+0.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 8, 2026 – Jun 11, 2026Global Strategy Group D1,000 LVD+2.0D+1.4release via wikipedia
Jun 3, 2026 – Jun 4, 2026Public Policy Polling D557 RVEvenR+0.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Apr 3, 2026 – Apr 9, 2026Echelon Insights R377 LVD+1.0D+3.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 10, 2026 – Mar 16, 2026GQR D1,200 LVR+4.0R+5.5release via wikipedia
Mar 10, 2026 – Mar 16, 2026GBAO D1,200 LVR+4.0R+6.1release via votehub
Jan 8, 2026 – Jan 11, 2026Change Research D1,108 LVR+3.0R+3.9release via votehub,wikipedia